Bret D. Elderd

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The NCEAS HCP working group consisted of 106 students participating in a nationwide graduate-level course led by the following faculty advisors: Opinions expressed by the authors of this publication are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the American Institute of Biological Sciences, the National Center for Ecological Analysis and(More)
Mathematical models of disease outbreaks play a crucial role in guiding public health policy [1–3] and have provided critical insights into the ecological dynamics of pathogen-regulated populations [4,5]. Remarkably, the models used to describe epidemics among human populations have been quite successful at describing epizootics in many animal populations,(More)
Estimates of a disease's basic reproductive rate R0 play a central role in understanding outbreaks and planning intervention strategies. In many calculations of R0, a simplifying assumption is that different host populations have effectively identical transmission rates. This assumption can lead to an underestimate of the overall uncertainty associated with(More)
This project is designed to expand upon the common agent-based simulation of a virus infecting a very generic population. Factors such as multiple populations, different forms of transportation, and social interactions will be accounted for. Different maps with different types of pseudo-random populations will be created and different types of existing and(More)
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