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- Björn Meder, Ralf Mayrhofer, Michael R. Waldmann
- Psychological review
- 2014
Our research examines the normative and descriptive adequacy of alternative computational models of diagnostic reasoning from single effects to single causes. Many theories of diagnostic reasoning… (More)
- Jonathan D. Nelson, Bojana Divjak, Gudny Birna Gudmundsdottir, Laura Martignon, Björn Meder
- Cognition
- 2014
We investigated 4th-grade children's search strategies on sequential search tasks in which the goal is to identify an unknown target object by asking yes-no questions about its features. We used… (More)
Theories of causal reasoning and learning often implicitly assume that the structural implications of causal models and empirical evidence are consistent. However, for probabilistic causal relations… (More)
- Björn Meder, Jonathan D. Nelson, +5 authors Christine Szalay
- 2012
The goal of obtaining information to improve classification accuracy can strongly conflict with the goal of obtaining information for improving payoffs. Two environments with such a conflict were… (More)
- York Hagmayer, Björn Meder
- Journal of experimental psychology. Learning…
- 2013
Many of our decisions refer to actions that have a causal impact on the external environment. Such actions may not only allow for the mere learning of expected values or utilities but also for… (More)
Recently, a number of rational theories have been put forward which provide a coherent formal framework for modeling different types of causal inferences, such as prediction, diagnosis, and action… (More)
When dealing with a dynamic causal system people may employ a variety of different strategies. One of these strategies is causal learning, that is, learning about the causal structure and parameters… (More)
Whereas the traditional normative benchmark for diagnostic reasoning from effects to causes is provided by purely statistical norms, we here approach the task from the perspective of rational causal… (More)
- York Hagmayer, Björn Meder, Momme von Sydow, Michael R. Waldmann
- Cognitive Science
- 2011
The goal of the present set of studies is to explore the boundary conditions of category transfer in causal learning. Previous research has shown that people are capable of inducing categories based… (More)
Is the mind an “intuitive statistician”? Or are humans biased and errorprone when it comes to probabilistic thinking? While researchers in the 1950s and 1960s suggested that people reason… (More)