Barbara Boldin

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A number of ecologically and economically important pathogens exhibit a complex transmission dynamics that involves distinct transmission modes. In this paper, we study the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens for which transmission includes direct host-to-host as well as indirect environmental transmission. Different routes of infection spread require(More)
Parasites reproduce and are subject to natural selection at several different, but intertwined, levels. In the recent paper, Gilchrist and Coombs (Theor. Popul. Biol. 69:145-153, 2006) relate the between-host transmission in the context of an SI model to the dynamics within a host. They demonstrate that within-host selection may lead to an outcome that(More)
In this paper we study deterministic, finite dimensional, continuous, as well as discrete time population invasion models. The ability of a newly introduced population, either a new species or a reproductively isolated subpopulation of one of the already present species, to settle in the community relies upon the basic reproduction ratio of the invader, R0.(More)
Nosocomial bacterial infections in critically ill patients are generally preceded by asymptomatic carriage (i.e. colonization) at one, or even several, body sites such as the skin, the gastro-intestinal and the respiratory tract. Different routes of transmission between the colonized sites create a complex epidemiology, which is additionally complicated by(More)
Several gastro-intestinal infections in animal husbandry not only greatly reduce the well-being of animals, but also have the potential to cause large economical damage. Understanding of the dynamics of such diseases is thus of great importance. In this paper, we focus on within-host dynamics and present a model describing the dynamics of pathogens in the(More)
A virus infecting a host faces a heterogeneous and a spatially structured environment. Using a mathematical model that incorporates two types of target cells and spatial structuring, we investigate conditions for viral within-host diversification. We show that branching occurs for a wide range of parameters but that it always requires some spatial(More)
Evolutionary suicide is a riveting phenomenon in which adaptive evolution drives a viable population to extinction. Gyllenberg and Parvinen (Bull Math Biol 63(5):981-993, 2001) showed that, in a wide class of deterministic population models, a discontinuous transition to extinction is a necessary condition for evolutionary suicide. An implicit assumption of(More)
We study the adaptive dynamics of virulence of a pathogen transmitted both via direct contacts between hosts and via free pathogens that survive in the environment. The model is very flexible with a number of trade-off functions linking virulence to other pathogen-related parameters and with two incidence functions that describe the contact rates between(More)
We investigate eco-evolutionary cycles in the joint dynamics of pathogen virulence and predator population density when hosts carrying virulent infections are exposed to increased risk of predation. We introduce a new technique to find trade-off functions under which the model exhibits limit cycles; this technique provides a constructive proof that the(More)
The existing classification of evolutionarily singular strategies in Adaptive Dynamics (Geritz et al. in Evol Ecol 12:35-57, 1998; Metz et al. in Stochastic and spatial structures of dynamical systems, pp 183-231, 1996) assumes an invasion exponent that is differentiable twice as a function of both the resident and the invading trait. Motivated by nested(More)
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