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What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years
▪ Abstract This essay synthesizes the results of the large number of studies of late–20th-century democratization published during the last 20 years. Strong evidence supports the claims that
Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions: A New Data Set
When the leader of an autocratic regime loses power, one of three things happens. The incumbent leadership group is replaced by democratically elected leaders. Someone from the incumbent leadership
Paradigms and Sand Castles: Theory Building and Research Design in Comparative Politics
Makes a compelling case for the importance of thoughtful research design and persuasive evidence in theory building
Decentralization and the Quality of Government
How does political decentralization affect the quality of government? Greater decentralization might make governments more honest and efficient by bringing officials “closer to the people” and
Authoritarian Breakdown : Empirical Test of a Game Theoretic Argument
This paper continues a project on the links between different authoritarian institutional structures and the likelihood and mode of transition to democracy. In earlier work, I have argued that
How Dictatorships Work: Power, Personalization, and Collapse
This accessible volume shines a light on how autocracy really works by providing basic facts about how post-World War II dictatorships achieve, retain, and lose power. The authors present an
A Game Theoretic Model of Reform in Latin American Democracies
In this article I develop a simple game-theoretic model of administrative reform in Latin American democracies. The model, which is based on the incentives facing the politicians who must initiate
How the Cases You Choose Affect the Answers You Get: Selection Bias in Comparative Politics
The logic of explanation is laid out and how it is violated when only cases that have achieved the outcome of interest are studied is shown.