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In this paper, we discuss a method for decomposition, abstraction and reconstruction of the stochastic semantics of rule-based systems with conserved number of agents. Abstraction is induced by counting fragments instead of the species, which are the standard entities of information in molecular signaling. The rule-set can be decomposed to smaller… (More)

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) whose state space is partitioned into aggregates, and each aggregate is assigned a probability measure. A sufficient condition for defining a CTMC over the aggregates is presented as a variant of weak lumpability, which also characterizes that the measure over the original process can be recovered from that… (More)

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal process given the full set of observations. This, in particular, leads to systematic approximations of the smoothing… (More)

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