A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis
- Andrey Korotayev, S. Tsirel
- Economics
- 7 January 2010
The article presents results of spectral analysis that has detected the presence of Kondratieff waves (their period equals approximately 52–53 years) in the world GDP dynamics for the 1870–2007…
Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
- P. Turchin, Thomas E. Currie, C. Spencer
- SociologyProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- 21 December 2017
A database of historical and archaeological information from 30 regions around the world over the last 10,000 years revealed that characteristics, such as social scale, economy, features of governance, and information systems, show strong evolutionary relationships with each other and that complexity of a society across different world regions can be meaningfully measured using a single principal component of variation.
Parallel-cousin (FBD) marriage, islamization, and arabization
- Andrey Korotayev
- Sociology
- 22 September 2000
Islamization, along with an area's inclusion in the eighth-century Arab-Islamic Khalifate (and its persistence within the Islamic world) is a strong and significant predictor of parallel-cousin (FBD)…
Galton ' s Problem as Multiple Network Autocorrelation Effects Cultural Trait Transmission and Ecological Constraint
- Andrey Korotayev
- Biology
- 2015
This research highlights the need to understand more fully the role of language in human interaction and the role that language plays in the development of identity and self-esteem.
Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
- Andrey Korotayev
- Sociology
- 1 February 2003
The author studies variables that are usually regarded as the main causes of the decline of unilineal descent organization (statehood, class stratification and commercialization), along with a…
Ethnographic atlas XXXI: peoples of easternmost Europe
- D. Bondarenko, A. Kazankov, D. Khaltourina, Andrey Korotayev
- History
- 22 June 2005
In the current installment of the Ethnographic Atlas, we present formalized data (following Murdock's scheme) on seventeen peoples of the European part of the former Russian Empire and the Soviet…
Political Development of the World System: A Formal Quantitative Analysis
- L. Grinin, Andrey Korotayev
- Political Science
- 2006
As the main evolving political unit of the World System is the state, it becomes necessary to begin our article with a discussion of the relevant set of definitions regarding the evolutionary…
Kondratieff Waves in Global Invention Activity (1900–2008)
- Andrey Korotayev, J. Zinkina, Justislav Bogevolnov
- Economics
- 1 September 2011
Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
- J. Zinkina, Andrey Korotayev
- Economics
- 17 February 2014
Our article draws attention to a crucial factor frequently omitted from the global development agenda, namely the explosive population growth inevitably expected in Tropical Africa in the nearest…
Global Unconditional Convergence among Larger Economies after 1998
- Andrey Korotayev, J. Zinkina, Justislav Bogevolnov, A. Malkov
- Economics
- 2011
We find rather strong evidence for the unconditional convergence among all the larger countries comprising the overwhelming majority of the world population and producing the overwhelming part of the…
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