• Publications
  • Influence
A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble PredictionExpand
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Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus: recent trends and future scenarios
The Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is an invasive species that has the potential to transmit infectious diseases such as dengue and chikungunya fever. Using high-resolution observations andExpand
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A weather-driven model of malaria transmission
BackgroundClimate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in malariaExpand
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Modelling the effects of past and future climate on the risk of bluetongue emergence in Europe
Vector-borne diseases are among those most sensitive to climate because the ecology of vectors and the development rate of pathogens within them are highly dependent on environmental conditions.Expand
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Estimating surface air temperatures, from Meteosat land surface temperatures, using an empirical solar zenith angle model
Temperature values derived from Meteosat are an indication of emitted long-wave radiation, and are not a true indication of ambient air temperature. The authors believe that Solar Zenith Angle (SZA)Expand
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Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution
Significance This study is the first multimalaria model intercomparison exercise. This is carried out to estimate the impact of future climate change and population scenarios on malaria transmissionExpand
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Environmental Risk and Meningitis Epidemics in Africa
Epidemics of meningococcal meningitis occur in areas with particular environmental characteristics. We present evidence that the relationship between the environment and the location of theseExpand
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Where is the meningitis belt? Defining an area at risk of epidemic meningitis in Africa.
Mapping an area at risk of epidemics of meningococcal meningitis in Africa has significant implications for their prevention and case treatment, through the targeted development of improvedExpand
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Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015
Significance This study quantifies the impact of climate variability on Zika virus (ZIKV) transmission by two mosquito vectors with distinct characteristics: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus.Expand
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African Climate Change: Taking the Shorter Route
Numerous factors are associated with poverty and underdevelopment in Africa, including climate variability. Rainfall, and climate more generally, are implicated directly in the United NationsExpand
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