Andrei Rogers

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This article outlines a formal model-based approach for inferring interregional age-specific migration streams in settings where such data are incomplete, inadequate, or unavailable. The estimation approach relies heavily on log-linear models, using them to impose some of the regularities exhibited by past age and spatial structures or to combine and borrow(More)
Population projection models that introduce uncertainty are a growing subset of projection models in general. In this paper, we focus on the importance of decisions made with regard to the model specifications adopted. We compare the forecasts and prediction intervals associated with four simple regional population projection models: an overall growth rate(More)
The Centre for Population Change is a joint initiative between the University of Southampton and a consortium of Scottish Universities in partnership with the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the General Register Office for Scotland (GROS). The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and(More)
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