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We o er the rst independent scholarly evaluation of the claims, forecasts, and causal inferences of the State Failure Task Force and their e orts to forecast when states will fail. This task force, set up at the behest of Vice President Gore in 1994, has been led by a group of distinguished academics working as consultants to the U.S. Central Intelligence(More)
  • Fiona McGillivray, Alastair Smith, +7 authors Andrew
  • 2002
The language of Realpolitik focuses on the pronoun them, referring to a nation and its people as a whole, single entity. Yet contemporary declarations of foreign policy increasingly rely on the pronoun him or her. U.S. leaders often claim that the United States is ‘‘friends’’ with the people of a country and only has a quarrel with its leadership.1(More)
Enterotoxin-producing Escherichia coli are major causes of pediatric diarrhea in developing countries. The heat-stable enterotoxin of Escherichia coli (STa) causes diarrhea by virtue of its ability to bind to and stimulate intestinal membrane-bound guanylate cyclase, generating cyclic GMP (cGMP). Previous work showed that a fucosylated oligosaccharide(More)
  • Curtis S. Signorino, Ahmer Tarar, +6 authors Alan Stam
  • 2001
We present a uni ed theory and test of extended immediate deterrence | uni ed in the sense that we employ our theoretical deterrence model as our statistical model in the empirical analysis. The theoretical model is a straightforward formalization of the extended immediate deterrence logic in Huth (1988) and Huth and Russett (1984, 1988), coupled with(More)
tury, the world’s most powerful nuclear-armed countries have been locked in a military stalemate known as mutual assured destruction (MAD). By the early 1960s, the United States and the Soviet Union possessed such large, welldispersed nuclear arsenals that neither state could entirely destroy the other’s nuclear forces in a arst strike. Whether the scenario(More)
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