• Publications
  • Influence
Promoting an open research culture
Author guidelines for journals could help to promote transparency, openness, and reproducibility Transparency, openness, and reproducibility are readily recognized as vital features of science (1,Expand
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The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation
TLDR
The following organisations are named on the report: Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk,University of Cambridge, Center for a New American Security, Electronic Frontier Foundation, OpenAI. Expand
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To have and to hold: exploring the personal archive
TLDR
We present a study of forty-eight academics and the techniques and tools they use to manage their digital and material archiving of papers, emails, documents, internet bookmarks, correspondence, and other artifacts. Expand
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When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts
TLDR
We report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Expand
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Reputation and Status as Motives for War
Justifications for war often invoke reputational or social aspirations: the need to protect national honor, status, reputation for resolve, credibility, and respect. Studies of these motives struggleExpand
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On Technological Determinism
“Technological determinism” is predominantly employed as a critic’s term, used to dismiss certain classes of theoretical and empirical claims. Understood more productively as referring to claims thatExpand
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Information Equivalence in Survey Experiments
TLDR
Survey experiments often manipulate the description of attributes in a hypothetical scenario, with the goal of learning about those attributes’ real-world effects. Expand
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Statistical Critiques of the Democratic Peace: Caveat Emptor
The “democratic peace”—the inference that democracies rarely fight each other—is one of the most important and empirically robust findings in international relations (IR). This article surveys theExpand
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From cell phones to conflict? Reflections on the emerging ICT–political conflict research agenda:
From mobilizing masses to monitoring rebels, information and communication technologies (ICT) are transforming political conflict. We reflect on the contributions made by the articles of this specialExpand
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