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The spatial structure of European wind storms as characterized by bivariate extreme-value Copulas
Abstract. The winds associated with extra-tropical cyclones are amongst the costliest natural perils in Europe. Re/insurance companies typically have insured exposure at multiple locations and henceExpand
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Daily oceanographic analyses by Mediterranean Forecasting System at the basin scale
Abstract. This study presents the upgrade of the Optimal Interpolation scheme used in the basin scale assimilation scheme of the Mediterranean Forecasting System. The modifications include a dailyExpand
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Mediterranean forecasting system : An improved assimilation scheme for sea-level anomaly and its validation
The assimilation of satellite and in situ data in the Mediterranean Forecast System (MFS) is based on an optimal interpolation scheme which uses empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) to representExpand
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Ocean Ensemble Forecasting, Part I: Ensemble Mediterranean Winds from a Bayesian Hierarchical Model
A Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) is developed to estimate surface vector wind (SVW) fields and associated uncertainties over the Mediterranean Sea. The BHM–SVW incorporates data-stage inputs fromExpand
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Bayesian Hierarchical Time Predictable Model for eruption occurrence: an application to Kilauea Volcano
SUMMARY The physical processes responsible for volcanic eruptions are characterized by a large number of degrees of freedom, often non-linearly coupled. This extreme complexity leads to anExpand
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The Tower of London: A case study of stone decay in an urban area
The principal aim of the present work is to analyse the alteration products due to reactions between atmospheric components and one of the most common limestone utilised to build the Tower of London,Expand
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Ensemble forecasting in the Mediterranean sea
A new methodology is being devised for ensemble ocean forecasting using distributions of the surface wind field derived from a Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM). The ocean members are forced withExpand
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Very Large ensemble ocean forecasting experiment using the Grid computing infrastructure
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Bologna, Italy Submitted to Bulletin of American Meteorological Society Revised version October 12, 2007 Corresponding author address : N.Pinardi, Corso diExpand
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A Simulation Approach for Estimating Hurricane Risk over a 5-yr Horizon
AbstractWe develop a stochastic North Atlantic hurricane track model whose climate inputs are Atlantic main development region (MDR) and Indo-Pacific (IP) sea surface temperatures and produceExpand
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Daily oceanographic analyses by the Mediterranean basin scale assimilation system
This study presents the upgrade of the Optimal Interpolation scheme used in the basin scale assimilation scheme of the Mediterranean Forecasting System . The modifications include a daily analysisExpand
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