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Is Polarization a Myth?
- A. Abramowitz, Kyle L. Saunders
- HistoryThe Journal of Politics
- 1 April 2008
This article uses data from the American National Election Studies and national exit polls to test Fiorina's assertion that ideological polarization in the American public is a myth. Fiorina argues…
Explaining Senate Election Outcomes
- A. Abramowitz
- Political ScienceAmerican Political Science Review
- 1 June 1988
Aggregate-level data are used in this analysis to explain the outcomes of Senate elections between 1974 and 1986. Using the individual Senate contest as the unit of analysis permits estimating the…
The Disappearing Center: Engaged Citizens, Polarization, and American Democracy
- A. Abramowitz
- Political Science
- 13 March 2010
Renowned political scientist Alan I. Abramowitz presents a groundbreaking argument that the most important divide in American politics is not between left and right but rather between citizens who…
Ideological Realignment in the U.S. Electorate
- A. Abramowitz, Kyle L. Saunders
- Political ScienceThe Journal of Politics
- 1 August 1998
Using data from the 1976-1994 American National Election Studies and the 1992-94 ANES panel survey, this paper demonstrates that the outcomes of the 1994 and 1996 elections reflected a long-term…
Exploring the Bases of Partisanship in the American Electorate: Social Identity vs. Ideology
- A. Abramowitz, Kyle L. Saunders
- Sociology
- 1 June 2006
This article uses data from the 1952-2004 American National Election Studies and the 2004 U.S. National Exit Poll to compare the influence of ideology and membership in social groups on party…
The rise of negative partisanship and the nationalization of U.S. elections in the 21st century
- A. Abramowitz, Steven W. Webster
- Political Science
- 1 March 2016
Incumbency, Redistricting, and the Decline of Competition in U.S. House Elections
- A. Abramowitz, B. Alexander, Matthew Gunning
- EconomicsThe Journal of Politics
- 1 February 2006
Competition in U.S. House elections has been declining for more than 50 years and, based on both incumbent reelection rates and the percentage of close races, the 2002 and 2004 House elections were…
Why Can't We All Just Get Along? The Reality of a Polarized America
- A. Abramowitz, Kyle L. Saunders
- Political Science
- 18 July 2005
According to Morris Fiorina, Americans are moderate, tolerant, and ambivalent in their political attitudes. This has always been true and it is, if anything, more true today than in the past. The…
The Ideological Foundations of Affective Polarization in the U.S. Electorate
- Steven W. Webster, A. Abramowitz
- Political Science
- 18 April 2017
Democratic and Republican partisans dislike the opposing party and its leaders far more than in the past. However, recent studies have argued that the rise of affective polarization in the electorate…
Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model
- A. Abramowitz
- HistoryPS: Political Science & Politics
- 1 October 2008
At first glance, the outcome of the 2008 presidential election would appear to be very difficult to predict. For the first time in over 50 years, there will be no incumbent president or vice…
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